Is Time Helping or Hurting You in Real Estate? What “Asking Price Decay” Reveals

Is Time Helping or Hurting You in Real Estate? What “Asking Price Decay” Reveals

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I’m a big believer in pricing your home right from day one — because in real estate, time is not your friend. Let me explain.

When you first list your home, you’re not just putting a price tag on it — you’re sending a message to the market. The first few weeks are your best chance to attract serious buyers. After that, the clock starts working against you. The longer your home sits, the more buyers become suspicious, wondering if something’s “wrong” with it — and pricing power starts to diminish.

Asking Price Decay in Real Estate: Why Timing Is Everything

Forbes recently covered a dramatic phenomenon called asking price decay — the way a home’s selling price drops the longer it stays on the market. Drawing from 20 years of data in Manhattan and Brooklyn, the analysis shows a clear pattern: after 30–45 days on market, discounts start to deepen, and by 180 days, prices for townhouses can diminish by nearly 17%. Condos and coops retain their pricing power a bit longer — reflecting their greater liquidity — but all properties suffer from this “time tax.”

My Take: 4 Takeaways That Sellers, Buyers, and Investors Should Watch

Here’s what this means for you:

Act Fast or Reprice Fast

  • My opinion: The first 30–45 days are your “prime selling window.” If you’re not seeing strong activity or offers by then, it’s a signal you may need to cut your price quickly.
  • How this matters: Sellers who adjust pricing promptly typically sell faster and closer to their original asking price — avoiding the slow slide into discount territory.

Watch Market Regimes to Guide Your Strategy

  • My view: Hot markets absorb listings quickly; weak Housing market penalize overpricing.
  • How this matters: If you’re selling in a weak market, pricing accurately from day one is crucial. If you’re in a strong market, you may have more flexibility.

Property Type Influences Decay Rate

  • My observation: Townhouses suffer faster discounts (up to 17% by 6 months), while condos and coops retain pricing power (about 91% after 6 months).
  • How this matters: Sellers of less liquid properties should be more aggressive and realistic in pricing. Buyers can use this knowledge to negotiate a better deal on a slow-moving townhouse.

Time Is a Tax — But It’s Also a Signal

  • My view: A home sitting on the market signals weakness to buyers. The “time tax” isn’t arbitrary; it reflects less competition and less urgency.
  • How this matters: Sellers should view this as valuable market feedback and adjust pricing or marketing strategies quickly in response.

Actionable Guidance — What Should You Do?

  • If you’re a seller: Price to sell from day one. Monitor activity after 30 days; if showings are slow, consider a price cut immediately. Prepare your home to show at its best and be flexible with negotiations.
  •  If you’re a buyer: Look for listings that have been sitting 60+ days — you may find motivated sellers willing to negotiate. Townhouses, in particular, may present a buying opportunity at a discount.
  •  If you’re an investor:  Watch for weak signals — a steepening price decay curve could reflect a softening market — perfect for buying underpriced properties.

Q&A: What Is Asking Price Decay?

What is “asking price decay”?

It’s the phenomenon where a home’s selling price drops the longer it stays on the market. The more days it sits, the more negotiating power buyers have — and sellers may need to cut their price to attract a buyer.

Final Thoughts

Ultimately, pricing a home is a delicate balance. It’s a market test — a way of seeing how much a buyer is willing to pay. But when days on market start adding up, it signals something isn’t clicking. Whether you’re selling or buying, understanding the “time tax” lets you respond smarter and faster.

 

Buying your first home? You’re probably staring at a mountain of costs—down payments, closing fees, property taxes. That’s where first-time homebuyer tax credits come in. Who doesn’t want to legally keep more cash in their pocket?

The government gives tax breaks to encourage homeownership, but most buyers don’t take full advantage. Let’s make sure you don’t leave money on the table.

What Is a First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit?

Tax credits are not the same as deductions. A deduction reduces your taxable income, but a tax credit reduces the actual amount you owe the IRS. That’s cold, hard savings.

If you qualify as a first-time homebuyer, you might get:

  • A direct credit on your taxes
  • Deductions for mortgage interest
  • State-based programs that cut costs

In 2024, there’s talk about federal tax credits coming back, but states already offer plenty of help. Let’s look at how to use them.

Who Qualifies as a First-Time Homebuyer?

Think you’re out because you’ve owned a home before? Not so fast.

The IRS says you’re a first-time buyer if you haven’t owned a home in the last three years. That means if you sold a house five years ago, you could still qualify.

You must also:

    • Buy a primary residence (no investment properties here)
    • Meet income limits set by tax programs
    • Use the property as your main home

States might have extra rules, so always check local laws.

Your Biggest Tax Credit Opportunities

There’s no single magic button that gives you savings—it’s a mix of federal and state first-time homebuyer tax credits. Here are the most valuable ones:

1. Mortgage Interest Deduction

Homeowners can deduct mortgage interest on their taxes. That’s a big win, especially in the early years when most of your payments go toward interest.

If you itemize your taxes, you could write off thousands. The IRS lets you deduct interest on loans up to:

    • $750,000 for joint filers
    • $375,000 if you’re single or married filing separately

Check with a tax pro if this fits your situation.

2. Local and State Programs

States often offer homebuyer assistance, and these programs can stack with federal tax credits.

For example, some places offer:

    • Down payment assistance (grants or low-interest loans)
    • Property tax reductions for first-time buyers
    • State-level tax credits that lower what you owe

Check your state’s housing authority website for current programs in your area.

3. Energy Efficiency Credits

Upgrading your home’s energy efficiency? The IRS might help pay for it.

If you install:

    • Solar panels
    • Energy-efficient windows
    • High-efficiency heating or cooling systems

You might qualify for federal and state tax credits. That’s extra savings for making smarter home upgrades.

FAQs

Do first-time homebuyer tax credits still exist in 2024?

The federal tax credit expired, but Congress keeps discussing new versions. Meanwhile, states have their own tax breaks and down payment programs.

What’s the difference between a tax credit and a tax deduction?

A credit cuts what you owe directly. A deduction just lowers your taxable income, which reduces your tax bill a little.

How do I claim these tax credits?

Many of the credits require filing forms with your tax return. A tax pro can help, or you can use software like TurboTax to guide you.

Are there income limits for first-time homebuyer tax credits?

Yes, many programs set income limits. These vary by state and program, so check local housing agencies.

Conclusion

There’s no reason to pay more tax than necessary. Take advantage of first-time homebuyer tax credits and keep more money in your pocket. Need more smart home-buying tips? Check out our blog for more ways to save.

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